Pūrvavat anumāna reasons from a presently observed cause to a future effect, based on previous experience of that sequence. Seeing dark, rising clouds and inferring that rain will soon occur is the stock illustration: clouds are known to precede rainfall. The temporal direction is from what comes earlier (cause) to what comes later (effect).
Option A:
Option A, inferring fire from smoke already on a hill, is typically treated as śeṣavat or anvayavyatireki, since smoke is regarded as the effect of an already present fire, not as a cause of future fire.
Option B:
Option B, inferring past rain from a swollen river, moves from a present effect to a past cause and is a standard example of śeṣavat anumāna.
Option C:
Option C correctly shows a present cause (dark clouds) used to infer a future effect (rain), which is the defining pattern of pūrvavat.
Option D:
Option D, inferring air from the movement of leaves, is an example of sāmānyatodṛṣṭa anumāna, where a generally observed association (moving leaves with air) is used to infer an unseen entity, not specifically a cause–future-effect sequence.
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